Areas of Highest Concern
Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.
The average retail price of sorghum across Jonglei continues to increase and is around 170 SSP/kilogram.
Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.
Military restrictions to farmlands keep disrupting the main growing season in several parts of the Northeast, including Monguno LGA.
The 2019 Gu/long rains season has so far been well below average and follows a below-average 2018/19 Deyr/short rains season. In many areas, households are still recovering from the 2016/17 drought.
Gu (Somalia), Belg (Ethiopia), and marginal agricultural long rains (Kenya) harvests of main cereal crops are expected to be one month late and significantly below average.
Other Areas of Concern
Drought negatively affected 2017/2018 rainfed wheat yields and pastoral conditions. Furthermore, prolonged conflict continues to disrupt livelihoods and lead to displacement.
National wheat production in Afghanistan is likely to be significantly above last year and the five-year average as a result of the significantly above-average precipitation across the country.
Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities.
On July 17th, the World Health Organization declared the Ebola virus disease outbreak in northeastern DRC a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.
Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.
Despite the harvest, food prices remain above average, although stable across some parts of the region; however, in Zimbabwe prices continue to atypically increase.
The impacts of tropical cyclones Desmond, Idai, and Kenneth have led to death, displacement, and widespread destruction. Additionally, the rainy season performed poorly in southern areas.
No new cholera cases have been reported in the central region since May 30 with the total number of cases reported since the outbreak was declared on March 27 of nearly 6,800.
Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes.
Prices of staple foods have decreased in the south following the harvest, leading to improved household food access.
Areas of Highest Concern
| Country or Region | Reason for Concern | Observations |
|---|---|---|
| South Sudan |
Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access. |
The average retail price of sorghum across Jonglei continues to increase and is around 170 SSP/kilogram. |
| Yemen |
The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households. |
On June 20, 2019, WFP began a suspension of assistance to approximately 850,000 people in Sana’a City. |
| Nigeria |
Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced. |
Military restrictions to farmlands keep disrupting the main growing season in several parts of the Northeast, including Monguno LGA. |
| Horn of Africa |
The 2019 Gu/long rains season has so far been well below average and follows a below-average 2018/19 Deyr/short rains season. In many areas, households are still recovering from the 2016/17 drought. |
Gu (Somalia), Belg (Ethiopia), and marginal agricultural long rains (Kenya) harvests of main cereal crops are expected to be one month late and significantly below average. |
Other Areas of Concern
| Country or Region | Reason for Concern | Observations |
|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan |
Drought negatively affected 2017/2018 rainfed wheat yields and pastoral conditions. Furthermore, prolonged conflict continues to disrupt livelihoods and lead to displacement. |
National wheat production in Afghanistan is likely to be significantly above last year and the five-year average as a result of the significantly above-average precipitation across the country. |
| DRC |
Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities. |
On July 17th, the World Health Organization declared the Ebola virus disease outbreak in northeastern DRC a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. |
| Southern Africa |
Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe. |
Despite the harvest, food prices remain above average, although stable across some parts of the region; however, in Zimbabwe prices continue to atypically increase. |
| Mozambique |
The impacts of tropical cyclones Desmond, Idai, and Kenneth have led to death, displacement, and widespread destruction. Additionally, the rainy season performed poorly in southern areas. |
No new cholera cases have been reported in the central region since May 30 with the total number of cases reported since the outbreak was declared on March 27 of nearly 6,800. |
| Madagascar |
Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes. |
Prices of staple foods have decreased in the south following the harvest, leading to improved household food access. |
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About FEWS NET
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.
