Areas of Highest Concern
Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.
Significant rainfall deficits persist in large parts of Eastern Equatoria and southern Jonglei, resulting in poor pasture and water conditions for livestock.
Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.
According to IOM’s most recent Displacement Tracking Matrix, there are nearly 3.5 million IDPs, refugees, and returnees in the northeast.
The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.
Humanitarian operations continue to be impeded in Al Hudaydah governorate following the mid-June military offensive.
Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access.
In Afar Region, below-average vegetation conditions persist, particularly after a delayed start of the Karan/Karma (July to September) rains.
Other Areas of Concern
Although the April to June 2018 Gu rainy season has led to improvements, most regions are still recovering from prolonged drought and the associated impact of large-scale livestock losses and poor production.
According to UNHCR, the total number of IDPs increased 24 percent to 2.6 million people between April and June 2018, due to recurrent conflict and seasonal flooding.
Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused ongoing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access their livelihoods.
Concerns increase for an uptick in violence as the final date for candidate registration for the December 2018 presidential election grows nearer.
Conflict has expanded in recent years, with more than 1.1 million people displaced since the beginning of 2016. Drought in the north and northwest will reduce yields for 2018 main season wheat and other crops. Rangeland conditions are also very poor in some of these areas.
Fighting in Ghazni City displaced over 7,500 people from Aug 13 to Aug 17. As fighting decreases and becomes sporadic, humanitarian assistance has started to reach the city.
Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.
There is increasing concern for Cabo Delgado Province of Mozambique where ongoing insecurity and sporadic conflict is disrupting livelihoods.
Areas of Highest Concern
| Country or Region | Reason for Concern | Current Observations |
|---|---|---|
| South Sudan |
Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access. |
Significant rainfall deficits persist in large parts of Eastern Equatoria and southern Jonglei, resulting in poor pasture and water conditions for livestock. |
| Nigeria |
Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced. |
According to IOM’s most recent Displacement Tracking Matrix, there are nearly 3.5 million IDPs, refugees, and returnees in the northeast. |
| Yemen |
The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households. |
Humanitarian operations continue to be impeded in Al Hudaydah governorate following the mid-June military offensive. |
| Ethiopia |
Severe drought over the past year has resulted in very large livestock losses in Ethiopia’s Somali Region, which has sharply reduced household food and income access. |
In Afar Region, below-average vegetation conditions persist, particularly after a delayed start of the Karan/Karma (July to September) rains. |
Other Areas of Concern
| Country or Region | Reason for Concern | Current Observations |
|---|---|---|
| Somalia |
Although the April to June 2018 Gu rainy season has led to improvements, most regions are still recovering from prolonged drought and the associated impact of large-scale livestock losses and poor production. |
According to UNHCR, the total number of IDPs increased 24 percent to 2.6 million people between April and June 2018, due to recurrent conflict and seasonal flooding. |
| DRC |
Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused ongoing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access their livelihoods. |
Concerns increase for an uptick in violence as the final date for candidate registration for the December 2018 presidential election grows nearer. |
| Afghanistan |
Conflict has expanded in recent years, with more than 1.1 million people displaced since the beginning of 2016. Drought in the north and northwest will reduce yields for 2018 main season wheat and other crops. Rangeland conditions are also very poor in some of these areas. |
Fighting in Ghazni City displaced over 7,500 people from Aug 13 to Aug 17. As fighting decreases and becomes sporadic, humanitarian assistance has started to reach the city. |
| Southern Africa |
Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe. |
There is increasing concern for Cabo Delgado Province of Mozambique where ongoing insecurity and sporadic conflict is disrupting livelihoods. |
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The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.
