Key Message Update

Deterioration of food security in Honduras and Nicaragua

September 2019

September 2019

Los tres países se encuentran en fase 2 (estrés)

October 2019 - January 2020

Los tres países se encuentran en fase 2 (estrés)

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Irregular rainfall and above-average temperatures during July and August affected areas of agricultural production (subsistence, surplus and commercial), mainly in eastern and southern Honduras and in central-northern Nicaragua, causing significant losses in the Primera maize harvest.

  • In the areas of subsistence agriculture, crop losses are considered greater than 85%, mainly concentrated in the municipalities of southern El Paraíso, Francisco Morazán, La Paz, Valle and northern Choluteca in Honduras; and in the municipalities of the dry corridor of western Nueva Segovia, Jinotega, Matagalpa, northern Chinandega, in Estelí and Madriz in Nicaragua.

  • The deficit and the delay of the rains during the first half of September could cause damages in the plantings of Postrera, reducing the supply of grains for the national demand, leading to increases of prices of maize and beans in the markets of the region during the first quarter of 2020.

  • Vulnerable families in regions of subsistence agriculture and rural workers will depend on the market for their food. Income from their workforce will be very scarce, and they must apply adaptation strategies such as money or grain borrowing and work for food, as well as migrating to urban centers.

  • Vulnerable households in the region will find themselves in stress (IPC Phase 2), due to deterioration in livelihoods that will limit their access to basic non-food needs. However, in more limited proportions, the poorest households in communities affected by lack of production and without other food alternatives and using negative adaptation strategies will be in Crisis Acute Food Insecurity (IPC Phase 3), mainly in Honduras and Nicaragua .

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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