Key Message Update

Assistance needs persist among displaced households in Afghanistan

December 2014
2014-Q4-11-13-central-asia-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Most areas in Afghanistan and Tajikistan are expected to remain Minimal (IPC Phase 1) through at least March, as the majority of households have been able to stock adequate food for the winter and lean season. Staple food prices remained stable in November, but were above-average in many places. Some households displaced or otherwise affected by conflict in Afghanistan and those affected by localized natural disasters in both countries will continue to require assistance.

  • According to the Central Bank of Russia, the flow of remittances to Tajikistan from January to September 2014 was similar to 2013. However, the Russian rouble (RUB) depreciated 33 percent against the Tajikistani somoni (TJS) from August to December, decreasing the purchasing power of those remittances.

  • In Afghanistan, Badghis Province is expected to be Stressed (IPC Phase 2) through at least March, after below-average harvests of wheat and other crops in 2014. Some households that have been unable to stock adequate food for the winter and lean season may enter Crisis (IPC Phase 3) from January to March 2015, as some coping strategies become unavailable and market access is reduced by the winter.

  • In Afghanistan, approximately 5,830 new arrivals were registered in Gulan Camp in Khost Province during December. These people were displaced by the renewed fighting in North Waziristan Agency in Pakistan. The total estimated number of Pakistani refugees in need of assistance in Khost and Paktika Provinces is 280,178 individuals. The influx of refugees has also strained the resources of the host communities. Refugees and hosting households are expected to be Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) through at least March but only with the expected continued presence of humanitarian assistance.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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