Key Message Update

Sharp increases in fuel prices and humanitarian access constraints drive increased concern in northern Yemen

May 2019

May 2019

Projected food security outcomes, May 2019

This map shows most of the country in Phase 3 Crisis, with the exception of Sa'dah and Hajjah in Phase 4 Emergency and Al Maharah in Phase 2 Stressed. Many western governorates are in Phase 3 Crisis due to the mitigating impacts of humanitarian assistance.

June - September 2019

Projected food security outcomes, June 2019 to September 2019

This map shows most of the country in Phase 3 Crisis, with the exception of Sa'dah and Hajjah in Phase 4 Emergency and Al Maharah in Phase 2 Stressed. Many western governorates are in Phase 3 Crisis due to the mitigating impacts of humanitarian assistance.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Not mapped
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Not mapped
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
Not mapped
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • FEWS NET estimates that approximately 17 million people in Yemen would be in need of urgent action (IPC Phase 3 or higher) in the absence of ongoing humanitarian food assistance. Sa’ada and Hajjah governorates are in Emergency (IPC Phase 4), which is associated with large food consumption gaps and/or extreme depletion of livelihood assets. Of the remaining governorates in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), six would be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) in the absence of ongoing assis

  • Fuel prices increased sharply in April 2019, particularly in northern areas of Yemen. Diesel prices increased by more than 60% in Sana’a City between March and April 2019 and by 45-55% in Al Hudaydah and Raymah governorates. Increases between 20 and 35% were observed in Dhamar, Al Jawf, Amran, and Marib. These substantial increases follow significant declines that occurred in late 2018. In April 2019, diesel prices in Al Hudaydah and Sana’a City were 50 percent higher than the 2018 average, and nearly 150% higher than the 2017 average. Initial information indicates that in recent weeks, fuel prices have returned to their March 2019 levels.

  • The recent increase in fuel prices was reportedly due to fuel shortages in northern Yemen associated with obtaining discharge permits from the government based in Aden. In late April, the Economic Committee in Aden (EC), permitted ships to partially discharge their fuel cargo in the Al Hudaydah seaports, which resulted in gradual increases in the availability of the fuel in this part of Yemen.  

  • On May 20, 2019, WFP announced the possibility of suspending its humanitarian aid in some areas of northern Yemen. WFP reports that there are disagreements with authorities in northern Yemen related to the selection of beneficiaries, and a biometric registration system which has already begun to be implemented in southern governorates. As a result, WFP indicates it is facing significant difficulty targeting assistance to those most in need and is considering suspending delivery of humanitarian assistance in some northern areas. Negotiations to resolve the issue are ongoing.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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