Areas of Highest Concern

Motivo de preocupação

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Current Observations

The average retail price of sorghum across Jonglei continues to increase and is around 170 SSP/kilogram. 

Motivo de preocupação

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Current Observations

On June 20, 2019, WFP began a suspension of assistance to approximately 850,000 people in Sana’a City.

Motivo de preocupação

Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.

Current Observations

Military restrictions to farmlands keep disrupting the main growing season in several parts of the Northeast, including Monguno LGA.

Motivo de preocupação

The 2019 Gu/long rains season has so far been well below average and follows a below-average 2018/19 Deyr/short rains season. In many areas, households are still recovering from the 2016/17 drought.

Current Observations

Gu (Somalia), Belg (Ethiopia), and marginal agricultural long rains (Kenya) harvests of main cereal crops are expected to be one month late and significantly below average.

Other Areas of Concern

Motivo de preocupação

Drought negatively affected 2017/2018 rainfed wheat yields and pastoral conditions. Furthermore, prolonged conflict continues to disrupt livelihoods and lead to displacement.  

Current Observations

National wheat production in Afghanistan is likely to be significantly above last year and the five-year average as a result of the significantly above-average precipitation across the country. 

Motivo de preocupação

Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities.

Current Observations

On July 17th, the World Health Organization declared the Ebola virus disease outbreak in northeastern DRC a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.  

Motivo de preocupação

Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.

Current Observations

Despite the harvest, food prices remain above average, although stable across some parts of the region; however, in Zimbabwe prices continue to atypically increase.

Motivo de preocupação

The impacts of tropical cyclones Desmond, Idai, and Kenneth have led to death, displacement, and widespread destruction. Additionally, the rainy season performed poorly in southern areas.

Current Observations

No new cholera cases have been reported in the central region since May 30 with the total number of cases reported since the outbreak was declared on March 27 of nearly 6,800.   

Motivo de preocupação

Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes.

Current Observations

Prices of staple foods have decreased in the south following the harvest, leading to improved household food access.

Areas of Highest Concern

País ou região Motivo de preocupação Observações atuais
South Sudan

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

The average retail price of sorghum across Jonglei continues to increase and is around 170 SSP/kilogram. 

Yemen

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

On June 20, 2019, WFP began a suspension of assistance to approximately 850,000 people in Sana’a City.

Nigeria

Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.

Military restrictions to farmlands keep disrupting the main growing season in several parts of the Northeast, including Monguno LGA.

Horn of Africa

The 2019 Gu/long rains season has so far been well below average and follows a below-average 2018/19 Deyr/short rains season. In many areas, households are still recovering from the 2016/17 drought.

Gu (Somalia), Belg (Ethiopia), and marginal agricultural long rains (Kenya) harvests of main cereal crops are expected to be one month late and significantly below average.

Other Areas of Concern

País ou região Motivo de preocupação Observações atuais
Afghanistan

Drought negatively affected 2017/2018 rainfed wheat yields and pastoral conditions. Furthermore, prolonged conflict continues to disrupt livelihoods and lead to displacement.  

National wheat production in Afghanistan is likely to be significantly above last year and the five-year average as a result of the significantly above-average precipitation across the country. 

DRC

Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities.

On July 17th, the World Health Organization declared the Ebola virus disease outbreak in northeastern DRC a Public Health Emergency of International Concern.  

Southern Africa

Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.

Despite the harvest, food prices remain above average, although stable across some parts of the region; however, in Zimbabwe prices continue to atypically increase.

Mozambique

The impacts of tropical cyclones Desmond, Idai, and Kenneth have led to death, displacement, and widespread destruction. Additionally, the rainy season performed poorly in southern areas.

No new cholera cases have been reported in the central region since May 30 with the total number of cases reported since the outbreak was declared on March 27 of nearly 6,800.   

Madagascar

Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes.

Prices of staple foods have decreased in the south following the harvest, leading to improved household food access.

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Peak needs 2018

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Os nossos Parceiros

A Rede de Sistemas de AlertaPrecoce de Fome é líder na provisão de alertas precoces e análises relativas à insegurança alimentar. Estabelecida em 1985 com o fim de auxiliar os responsáveis pela tomada de decisões a elaborar planos para crises humanitárias, a FEWS NET provê análises baseadas em evidências em cerca de 35 países. Entre os membros implementadores refere-se a NASA , NOAA, USDA e o USGS, assim como a Chemonics International Inc. e a Kimetrica. Leia mais sobre o nosso trabalho.

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