Areas of Highest Concern

Motivo de preocupação

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Current Observations

Anti-government protests and ongoing tension in Juba in mid-May raises concern of the possiblity of an uptick in conflict.

Motivo de preocupação

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

Current Observations

WFP considering suspending humanitarian aid in parts of Yemen, citing obstruction and a lack of cooperation by some Houthi authorities.

Motivo de preocupação

Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.

Current Observations

Humanitarian actors remain unable to reach the town of Rann where about 30,000 people have returned after fleeing to Cameroon.  

Motivo de preocupação

The 2019 Gu/long rains season has so far been well below average and follows a below-average 2018/19 Deyr/short rains season. In many areas, households are still recovering from the 2016/17 drought.

Current Observations

Recent moderate to heavy Gu/long rains has partially alleviated pasture and water deficits, but pastoral and cropping conditions remain poor to fair.

Other Areas of Concern

Motivo de preocupação

Drought negatively affected 2017/2018 rainfed wheat yields and pastoral conditions. Furthermore, prolonged conflict continues to disrupt livelihoods and lead to displacement.  

Current Observations

According to data released by the Nutrition Cluster this month, the prevalence of acute malnutrition in March 2019 was Serious (GAM (MUAC) 5-9.9%) or Critical (>10%) across the country. 

Motivo de preocupação

Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities.

Current Observations

The Ebola outbreak in North Kivu, is ongoing in part due to continuing conflict and mistrust of medical services, limiting some households’ access to livelihoods and markets. 

Motivo de preocupação

Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.

Current Observations

Despite the delayed and below average maize harvest, food security outcomes are anticipated to improve in the short-term across most of the region.  

Motivo de preocupação

The impacts of tropical cyclones Desmond, Idai, and Kenneth have led to death, displacement, and widespread destruction. Additionally, the rainy season performed poorly in southern areas.

Current Observations

The number of reported cholera cases remained in Sofala province; although in  Cabo Delgado, the outbreak continues with 225 cumulative reported cases from March 27 to May 21. 

Motivo de preocupação

Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes.

Current Observations

Improved tuber production in the south of Madagascar is expected to improve food security outcomes in the coming months. 

Areas of Highest Concern

País ou região Motivo de preocupação Observações atuais
South Sudan

Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.

Anti-government protests and ongoing tension in Juba in mid-May raises concern of the possiblity of an uptick in conflict.

Yemen

The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households.

WFP considering suspending humanitarian aid in parts of Yemen, citing obstruction and a lack of cooperation by some Houthi authorities.

Nigeria

Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.

Humanitarian actors remain unable to reach the town of Rann where about 30,000 people have returned after fleeing to Cameroon.  

Horn of Africa

The 2019 Gu/long rains season has so far been well below average and follows a below-average 2018/19 Deyr/short rains season. In many areas, households are still recovering from the 2016/17 drought.

Recent moderate to heavy Gu/long rains has partially alleviated pasture and water deficits, but pastoral and cropping conditions remain poor to fair.

Other Areas of Concern

País ou região Motivo de preocupação Observações atuais
Afghanistan

Drought negatively affected 2017/2018 rainfed wheat yields and pastoral conditions. Furthermore, prolonged conflict continues to disrupt livelihoods and lead to displacement.  

According to data released by the Nutrition Cluster this month, the prevalence of acute malnutrition in March 2019 was Serious (GAM (MUAC) 5-9.9%) or Critical (>10%) across the country. 

DRC

Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities.

The Ebola outbreak in North Kivu, is ongoing in part due to continuing conflict and mistrust of medical services, limiting some households’ access to livelihoods and markets. 

Southern Africa

Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.

Despite the delayed and below average maize harvest, food security outcomes are anticipated to improve in the short-term across most of the region.  

Mozambique

The impacts of tropical cyclones Desmond, Idai, and Kenneth have led to death, displacement, and widespread destruction. Additionally, the rainy season performed poorly in southern areas.

The number of reported cholera cases remained in Sofala province; although in  Cabo Delgado, the outbreak continues with 225 cumulative reported cases from March 27 to May 21. 

Madagascar

Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes.

Improved tuber production in the south of Madagascar is expected to improve food security outcomes in the coming months. 

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Peak needs 2018

FEWS NET Data Center link

Food security outlook story map

Os nossos Parceiros

A Rede de Sistemas de AlertaPrecoce de Fome é líder na provisão de alertas precoces e análises relativas à insegurança alimentar. Estabelecida em 1985 com o fim de auxiliar os responsáveis pela tomada de decisões a elaborar planos para crises humanitárias, a FEWS NET provê análises baseadas em evidências em cerca de 35 países. Entre os membros implementadores refere-se a NASA , NOAA, USDA e o USGS, assim como a Chemonics International Inc. e a Kimetrica. Leia mais sobre o nosso trabalho.

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