Key Message Update

Early rainfall in pastoral zones leads to improvement in food security situation

July 2017

July - September 2017

Chad July 2017 Food Security Projections for July to September

October 2017 - January 2018

Chad July 2017 Food Security Projections for October to January

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The agricultural season had an early start and is developing normally in agricultural and agropastoral zones, despite localized dry spells in West Mayo Kebbi. Weeding is currently underway in the Sudanian zone, while planting is nearly complete in the Sahelian zone. The suspension of subsidies for motorized plowing has led to a decrease in area planted with cereals, by 35 percent. FEWS NET will monitor the evolution of this situation.

  • Pastoral conditions have improved in most of the country with the initiation of the rainy season, which allowed the replenishment of pastures and watering holes. Transhumant herds are gradually returning, and are currently gathered mostly in Guera. Livestock body conditions have improved, leading to improved milk availability. 

  • The technical services have reported an outbreak of army-worm in Moundou, Mandoul, Moyen-Chari parts of Mayo Kebbi and Dar Sila. Damage is currently negligible due to the low concentration (5-10 individuals/m2), but a phytosanitary monitoring (pesticide deployment alert) has been activated by the Department of Crop Protection.

  • Market supply is normal due to strong cereal production during the 2016-2017 season, and trade flows are normal in most of the country. Nevertheless, localized price rises have been registered due to low household stock, particularly in the Lake Chad region as well as in the departments of Megri and Kobe (Wadi Fira) and Abtouyour (Guera), where Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity outcomes are ongoing. 

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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