Key Message Update

Low production and civil insecurity lead to food insecurity in the center and north

April 2019

April - May 2019

Carte des Résultats estimés les plus probables de la sécurité alimentaire, février à mai2019: La plupart du pays est en Minimal (Phase 1 de l'IPC) sauf que partis de Gao et Mopti qui sont en Stress (Phase 2 de l'IPC)

June - September 2019

Carte des Résultats estimés les plus probables de la sécurité alimentaire, juin à septembre 2019: La plupart du pays est en Minimal (Phase 1 de l'IPC) sauf que partis de Gao et Mopti qui sont en Stress (Phase 2 de l'IPC) et Stress (Phase 2! de l'IPC)

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Cereal supplies in markets remain sufficient overall despite disruptions in some markets due to insecurity. Cereal prices are close to or slightly higher than the five-year average and are favorable to average household access to food.

  • The pastoral lean season started normally thanks to the average to good availability of pastureland and water points in the areas where pastoralists usually congregate during the dry season. However, disruptions in livestock movements and pockets of poor pastureland in some northern pastoral areas will negatively affect livestock production and consequently pastoral incomes.

  • Poor households’ early dependence on markets in the rice growing areas of the Niger Delta and Timbuktu River Valley in Gao in an already disrupted economic environment is leading to the use of atypical coping strategies, particularly for labor and migration, and places many households in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) from April to September 2019.

  • The majority of households in the country will remain in Minimal (IPC Phase 1) due to average food availability and access. Households displaced by insecurity in the central and northern parts of the country are experiencing a deterioration in their livelihoods that limits their access to food. They therefore find themselves in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) or worse acute food insecurity.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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