Key Message Update

Average productions of flood recessional crops support diminished food insecurity

March 2016

March - May 2016

Mauritania March 2016 Food Security Projections for March to May

June - September 2016

Mauritania March 2016 Food Security Projections for June to September

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The harvest of late-season and flood recessional crops is currently finished. Despite the strong pressure of grain-eating birds and the shift in the crop calendar following the delayed rainy season, cereal production is above 2015 levels. This favorable situation, reinforced by good pastoral conditions and regular market functioning, means that Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity outcomes will remain until September.

  • Pasturelands remain satisfactory in all livelihood zones, but the difficulties of water access, caused by localized rainfall deficits, have begun two months earlier than usual (March instead of May) in the north of the country. This is reorienting transhumance migrations toward the center of the country and the northern part of the agro-pastoral zone. Consequently, pasture deficits in these areas are probable starting in April.

  • Livelihood protection deficits due to sales, losses, and debts during the two previous deficit years are creating Stress (IPC Phase 2) outcomes for certain agro-pastoral households in Adrar, Inchiri, Gorgol, Tagant, and Brakna until September. Only the oasis areas of these regions will return to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes in July following the date harvest.

For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for February – September 2016.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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