Key Message Update

Crisis food insecurity outcomes in Diffa region due to the conflict

November 2017

November 2017 - January 2018

February - May 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Preliminary results of the agricultural campaign show that national production is 14 percent above five years average. Moreover, income generating activities are normal, providing average income to poor households. This situation contributes to maintain Minimal food security outcomes (IPC phase 1) at least until May 2018. 

  • Recent harvests and normal cereal imports are contributing to food availability. However, these harvests have not sufficiently reached consumer markets. Offer is globally below average and cereal prices will likely remain above last year and five years average levels. 

  • Livestock exports towards Nigeria have increased due to a better exchange rate. Prices remain under five years average; however, significant increases have been observed compared to September (80 percent for bulls in Tamaské, Tahoua and 91 percent for rams in Tanout, Zinder), leading to an increase in purchase power and food access for pastors. 

  • Humanitarian assistance contributes to maintain Stressed (IPC phase 2) acute food insecurity outcomes for displaced and poor local households in the Diffa region affected by security issues. The conflict has led households to adopt crisis strategies in pastoral and irrigated crops (pepper) areas to ensure their food needs, placing these areas in Crisis (IPC phase 3). 

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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