Key Message Update

Ongoing conflict remains the main food insecurity driver in the country

November 2018

November 2018 - January 2019

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • According to provisional results, national cereal production is 5,952,562 tons, an increase of 1 percent and 13 percent compared to 2017 and the average, respectively. Cash crop production, estimated at more than three million tons, has seen increase of 19 percent and 26 percent compared to 2017 and the average. These harvests will likely contribute to a more significant source of agricultural income than normal and offer important opportunities for payment in kind and in cash of the agricultural labor force.

  • Owing to the good rainfall in the pastoral zone, the provisional fodder estimate indicates a generally favorable situation with more than 3 million tons of dry matter expected, corresponding to a good coverage of animal feed needs. However, the regions of Tillabéry and Diffa saw somewhat significant deficits that will compromise the availability of fodder in the coming months. Livestock are generally in good condition and their market value is at a similar level to last year but below average.

  • Markets are becoming well-supplied with cereals and cash crops and prices are following the normal seasonal pattern. Internal and external trade flows are operating normally except in parts of Tillabery, Tahoua and Diffa regions, which are subject to insecurity that disrupts trade between zones.

  • Household food access across most of the country is generally acceptable except in the Tillabery and Diffa regions where households without access to humanitarian assistance have in some cases resorted to negative coping strategies to meet their food need. The effects of conflict continue to result in loss of livelihoods and challenges to food access in affected areas.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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